I’ve always noticed that the 1st week of November seems to be when the real change happens,…when we can jump from almost summer to winter and never look back…although last November was insanely mild and i hardly ran the furnace.
The GFS did suggest a cold shot around that Nov 1st but the more recent runs have backed off of that and show 60Fs that first week of Nov…so who knows.
I don’t look forward to winter, but man…the warm seasons lately have been sooooo long it seems. Even up here, we’ve been mild since about early April and its almost November… last winter outside of some ice storms, it really was nothing to complain about. Mild///not much snow.