How is your weather?



Yeah areas that don’t need rain are getting it. I think the drought is pretty much dead now up here. Raining again now (warm air advection). Should get back to normal/above normal for a few days next week. Stuck in the low 60Fs this afternoon.


frost warnings out for tonight.


Nothing here yet. Looks like next Monday might be our first real chance of the season.


looks like come midweek this week it will freeze several nights also.


TD-19 making landfall in Biscayne Bay as seen here on Key West Radar.

Philippe Papin


Sep 12, 2020

Seeing numerous radar velocity bins of 60-75mph very close to #KAMX radar (~100 meters AGL) in the intense band on east of the center of #TD19. Even assuming a significant reduction factor, these radar derived velocities may support upgrading TD19 to a tropical storm.



One big concern with #TD19: the potential for days of torrential rain over the central Gulf Coast. Unlike Laura, this looks to be a slow-moving coast hugger. NWS/WPC is already predicting 7-10" over coastal MS/AL/FL, with 10-15+" lurking just offshore.



#TD19 is moving considerably further south than forecast and is now on the southern edge of the 00z EPS guidance from last night. This could allow the system to have more time to strengthen, which would be quite problematic (as shown by the HWRF)


Is this early for that stuff around you or about normal?

Been stuck around 60F now for the last day. Rain again. Rain gauge showing 2.5 inches total for the last week. Warm air makes a strong return starting later today and then for the next 5 days (around 80F). All my plants are back outside after vacation indoors.

I was reading in Norway their plum harvest was almost a fail this summer because it was so cold/rainy. …down 80% from last year. At least in the last 10 years, they’ve seen nothing this bad.


That tropical system into New Orleans will quickly scoot NE and will help pull down a piece of a chunk of a very cold Canadian air over New England.


Yes the problem is the RI that Sally can do on GOM… very bad a few time to prepare…


1 h

Very concerned about Tropical Storm Sally blowing up into a powerful hurricane before slowing and tracking toward mouth of Mississippi on Monday. Worst case scenario is a major hurricane and/or 20-30 inches of rain from slow Sally


No surprise here…one year ago the Old Farmer’s Almanac predicted six degrees below normal for the month (of Sept.) for KENTUCKY!!!


Mandatory Evacuations for everyone outside the levee protection starting early tomorrow morning in Louisiana. Mostly Lake Catherine, Lake borgne Venetian Isles area needs to begin leaving early tomorrow. Mayor just ordered it.


its normal here. 1st. frosts usually come mid sept. killing frost in oct.


And a hurricane on the way maybe?


Yes. You can follow it on Severe Weather Thread…


Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Miami FL
223 AM EDT Sun Sep 13 2020

The National Weather Service in Miami has extended the

  • Flash Flood Warning for…
    Northern Miami-Dade County in southeastern Florida…

  • Until 630 AM EDT.

  • At 223 AM EDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated
    thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between
    3 and 4 inches of rain have fallen. Flash flooding is ongoing or
    expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD…Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
producing flash flooding.

SOURCE…Doppler radar and automated gauges.

IMPACT…Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

  • Some locations that will experience flash flooding include…
    Miami, Hialeah, Miami Beach, Coral Gables, Key Biscayne, South
    Miami, Virginia Key, Kendall, Miami Gardens, North Miami, Doral,
    Miami Lakes, Hialeah Gardens, Pinecrest, Opa-Locka, Miami Springs,
    Sweetwater, Miami Shores, West Miami and El Portal.

Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible in the
warned area.


TS Sally:
Hurricane warning now issued from Grand Isle, LA to Ocean Springs, MS

Hurricane Paulette:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…

  • Bermuda


Friday through Sunday looking like mid-30s at night…that forecast changed fast!


Paulette now forecast to become a Major. Bad news for Bermuda…

11:00 AM AST Sun Sep 13

Location: 29.9°N 61.9°W

Moving: NW at 14 mph

Min pressure: 976 mb

Max sustained: 80 mph