Hi
I have found some videos about U.S.A winter 2015-2016 weather. I thought writing about summer weather forecast but I didn’t found much information about that and what I found was quite distributed what kind of summer is coming so it was not quite easy to get good overall image about that. I guess those who make forecast are more interested winter than summer as summer has less variability in weather than winter. Summer can vary in terms rain but if you look deviation from average temperature it is less than what it is in winter. Summer is although is still warmer, unless you are in tropics. Fall did same thing, not much forecast I think if i remember it had less forecast than summer forecast.
Summer is june, july and august if we go by that season are 3 month each, then winter would be december, january and february. In northern hemisphere, southern hemisphere would be opposite of those. I took only those forecast which is made october. It is little early still as a writing this, as we have 1 month before winter begins so we might get still more of those forecast.
Generally forecast say warmer than normal temperature in northern U.S.A and colder than normal temperature in southern U.S.A. But that is from average of those 3 months, that don’t say how much temperature deviate from normal, temperature swings you know if it is average it might be sometimes little bit above normal and sometimes little bit below normal for example so average go about normal. When looking those videos, it give overall image that if cut those 3 months in 2 parts, 1 for early winter from december to mid January and 1 for late winter mid January to february early part is warmer and second part is colder some call it late loading winter. So if you are about normal, early part might let’s say 1 c warmer than normal second part might be 1 c colder than normal to get season about normal. Don’t forget normal weather variability here, yes I have said it before but good to remember that. This is el nino winter, with declining solar activity. California might get some rainfall in winter, above normal rainfall but i guess it would wise to take some kind of caution here as California seems to have drought now. Looks like south east might get some snow, above normal snowfall maybe up to Maryland or so. What comes to Michigan or northern U.S.A. seems to be little question as snowfall as it seems snowfall would go to eastern costal area and north central seems to be below normal snowfall. Eastern U.S.A means area which is in eastern time zone and northern U.S.A. means northern U.S.A. in central time zone, Michigan is somewhere between those in eastern time zone mostly but not eastern coast. I wrote something about those videos below, but you can watch those yourself if you want.
This video has temperature and precipitation map. Those colors makes little difficult to see states as it covers them but try to see some state on map and then think what states or how much south or north of it from it that way to figure it out. Temperature map red means warmer than normal and blue colder than normal. Here is the link : i need to replace y character to 1 number, so copy address and replace that 1 number so it have youtube instead of that 1.
https://www.1outube.com/watch?v=0kkSBFl1hi8
Next video has better map as it don’t cover states same way. Forecast start at 2:56 if you want to skip that background information. It have temperature forecast, it shows how much temperature deviate from the normal, i think those are in Fahrenheit. It have precipitation and snowfall maps.
https://www.1outube.com/watch?v=AwLap5gThUQ
Next video has analogs which shows similar years, at 2:30 it has analogs by month. First it is December-February overall and then month by month. Those years in that list are similar years of coming winters so you can look similar year weather data if you want to see how it went that area in those years, colors are deviation from normal temperature. You can see here that warm weather first, then colder weather later what i wrote earlier.
https://www.1outube.com/watch?v=oiQfTAGtm9Y
Next video don’t have sound. It shows eastern U.S.A. be colder than normal. It shows eastern U.S.A. might be above normal snowfall.
https://www.1outube.com/watch?v=XY1PPk9b5U8
Next video has temperature forecast and shows eastern U.S.A below average or well below average temperature. This video is low on sound, so you need to increase your volume to hear this video. Rainfall and snowfall forecast. Looks like area around Maryland is extremely above average snowfall in this forecast. It says very cold, extreme snowfall in Maryland area. It also has white Christmas forecast.
https://www.1outube.com/watch?v=q6NES-JqKZA
Next video shows eastern U.S.A. to be colder than normal.
https://www.1outube.com/watch?v=xM0MgmEGvko
Those are videos i have found, it is something to get overall image of coming winter but don’t take those as granted as forecast are not always right.