I think my earlier ones did OK (for peaches grafting…maybe 30-50%). I haven’t had time to go around and take proper notes and calculate an actual success rate yet. I did this latest round mostly from curiosity and the opportunity presented by the weather. In the last two days, I made 12 grafts, 5 cleft, 3 splice, and 4 bark grafts (including one double bark).
Edit: Posting this prompted me to record how things did. My guess was decent- it looks like I’ve had about 44% success.

Within this, I looked for where the failures are coming from and found 3 main sources:
1.) One tree (my TangO NJF 16) was only 2/11. I’ve been cutting this one back very hard for a few years trying to graft over it and it has probably affected it’s vigor.
2.) The grafts from 4/30, 5/1, and 5/2 were only 1/11, even though a few days earlier and a week later were both fine. Even if you exclude the NJF tree, it is still 1/9, horrid.
3.) Scion varieties which start with “C” were only 1/11 (2 varieties were 10 of the grafts). Two other varieties were also a combined 0/5.
For the 4/30-5/2 data, even if I exclude the scion varieties which did poorly in general and anything grafted to NJF 16, I still get 1/6, which is much lower than the days around that period.
I think this can be tied back to some very warm weather which came a few days later. The grafts from 4/28 must have had time to callus before the 88F and 90F days, but the grafts from 4/30 onwards did not.

I also took a look at which types of grafts worked best:

But, there is a pretty strong correlation between the type of graft I used and the width of the scionwood. And the width of the wood is often fairly similar when receiving a variety from a source. For instance, if I only got thin wood of variety X, which caused me to do only bark grafts with it, it wouldn’t be surprising if bark grafts get a bad rap due to weak wood from this particular source.
So, if I exclude the varieties which had almost 0% success rate (the best of which was 1/6), the results are:

If you also exclude grafts to NJF 16, it bumps cleft to 100% and Splice rises to match Double bark at 50%. I’m a bit surprised by this result, as when I was making the spice grafts they felt pretty good. I’m going to check on them later in the summer and see if the wider caliper scion is able to put on more growth than the cleft and double-bark grafts. I’ll also take a look at how splice grafts worked for other types of fruit tree.