I can’t recall if they did comparisons in the study of removing to just the scaffolds in the first year or leaving the extras, re: the effect on trunk diameter. That was as I recall the rationale for leaving the extra shoots for the season. It has been a long time and I don’t really want to read it again right now. Notching further nudges buds to grow out, but it also typically seems to make them grow more, which has a lot of potential value. What I like to do now is notch, then immediately put on a jumbo clothespin, modified by trimming one side to an angle. The bud bumps into it as soon as it sprouts and is guided outward. I will attach a photo. You can make these modifications with a few strokes of a coarse round file for expediency’s sake, or just whittle them with a knife.
My experience and general thinking is more along the lines of home and small orchards, in which case, a little extra work is not a big deal and might even be fun for some of us. Even on scales of hundreds of trees, there could be a place for specific branch selection via notching or further removal of excess buds as they begin to grow out. At a certain scale, maybe not so much. I like the extra branches for insurance. I’ve had to utilize extra branches due to damage from deer and other issues. I will not infrequently pinch them back and sometimes remove some of them. Again though, that is small scale, walking around messing with my trees and observing them. In apples at least, notching does really work well. If my observations hold that it drives more growth into those shoots fairly reliably and enough to matter, it is worth looking at streamlining the work. There are surely ways, like files or a special scorping tool to do the notching much more efficiently, cleanly and precisely than a knife. I have ideas. Clothespins are pretty cheap and can be reused. Honestly, the greater bottleneck is time spent selecting buds. I think a system of some kind of that could be a big time saver. It is perhaps easier once the branches are grown out, but not a lot. I will often place clothespins to mark the buds as I’m figuring it out. I’ve also used paint.
Another area to explore is notching post sprout. If one were to come out when the shoots are very young, assuming previous disbudding, branch angles would already be set. If they are not, then snap on a spreader. At this point, one could nip back the extra shoot tips to further favor the main scaffold. In my experience, post sprout notching does still increase growth, but that is based on casual experience and memory and needs further work. It would be interesting to see comparison between notching vs removing all shoots except the scaffolds on both scaffold length and trunk diameter. Also notching with and without shoot removal. Choices there might depend on desired form too. I am usually going fo modified central leader, so I want growth guided into big scaffolds competing with the top.
If I had land and the resources I need, I would already have results testing some of this stuff and probably innovating guides and notching tools. That is still the long term plan, but I would not bet on it happening at this point. I’m glad to see that people are out there testing this kind of stuff and researching it more. I do think we need a revolution in tree training that actually reaches the masses. The clip and pray method is ridiculously innefective and slow. I head occasionally, but have not observed it to be necessary to encourage branching when disbudding and notching are employed. I can only say that casually though without sample sizes and comparative observation to back it up. My own progression was observing that common recommendations were ineffective and slow and adding notching. The apple framework study added disbudding, but we came to the same observation about severe heading being counterproductive. I think there are more innovations to come. For fruit nerds like us, we have a lot of options and there is no need to settle on a rigid system. We have tools in the toolbox and can use them adaptively when needed. For someone that just wants to plant a tree in the yard and have it turn out well, a simple system and set of rules is going to be needed.
I would like to see you add some notching for comparison, using these clothespins or similar. My limited experience so far is all good. Also, there is the issue of branching laterals off the scaffolds. It is not uncommon to end up with many feet of unsprouted branch on a scaffold. Notching in my experience works very well to induce side branches exactly where you want them. It is much easier than selecting buds for scaffold placement and fast. I don’t see heading back as a good option for branching. The results are pretty random and tend to be front heavy, just like heading main leaders. That said, I do it sometimes to bring back a very whispy branch or balance scaffold length, just not as a sole branching inducer. I have also used disbudding in the mix for branching, but I don’t think it is necessary and it just removes buds that have potential to fruit later.
I’ll look forward to seeing more of your results. Thanks for posting, and @jrd51 for your insights.